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Still Makes Sense to Buy vs. Rent
Nearly a full third of households are still renting...but if you are one of
them, you could be paying a hefty price. Additionally, the children of the baby
boomer generation are close to or at the home buying age, but these “echo
boomers” could mistakenly decide to put off the purchase of a home because of
all the noise about a “bubble” in home prices.
Is there a “bubble”? The simple answer is “no”. Even if interest rates move a
bit higher, it won’t be enough to cause a nationwide slide in home prices.
The key to a healthy housing market is the job market. If the
payment on a new home might be slightly higher due to increased interest rates,
it generally won't stop someone from purchasing the home of their dreams...but
if they feel their job is in jeopardy, that might be enough to stop them from
making a move. So with the currently low levels of unemployment and the beefy
gains in job creations, it looks like the housing market will remain vibrant.
Although it will be difficult to sustain the double-digit gains that much of the
country has seen, price declines are highly unlikely. Expect a more moderate
rate of appreciation, perhaps closer to the historical 6-7% range, which is
still very good.
It is important to note that housing tends to be localized. So if the job
market in your area is weak, housing prices could under perform the rest of the
country.
But this talk of a housing bubble has been going on for a few years now, and
those who were unfortunately victimized by continuing to rent instead of
purchasing a home are painfully mulling over their missed opportunity. But is it
too late? Even with the more moderate levels of appreciation
expected…procrastinating on that home purchase could cost you a bundle.
Let’s look at an example. If you are paying rent at $1,500 per month and your
landlord increases your payment by a modest 5% each year, you would wind up
paying just about $100,000 over a 5-year period! Worse yet, after forking over
$100,000, you still would have nothing to show for it.
And speaking of having nothing to show for it – how about any improvements
you might make to a rental property? It’s not uncommon for renters to freshen up
the paint, install new light fixtures or plant some nice flowers outside. But
guess what…all your efforts, labor and the benefit of that improvement belong to
the landlord, not to you.
With the extensive variety of programs to help buyers obtain a mortgage with
little to even zero down payment, the very same money could have been used
towards home ownership. Even using a standard 30-year fixed program, a mortgage
of $300,000 could be obtained with a total monthly mortgage payment - including
property taxes and insurance - of around $2,200. Assuming a 25% tax
bracket, this would be equivalent to the average amount spent on rent during the
same period after your tax benefit.
And the benefits of home ownership are quite considerable. Because the
mortgage is being paid down each month, equity is being built. After 5-years,
the $300,000 mortgage would be reduced to $279,000, adding $21,000 to your net
worth. Home appreciation can add an even bigger chunk. If your home appreciates
at a modest 5% per year, the value of a $300,000 home would increase to $383,000
after 5-years. Subtract the remaining mortgage of $279,000 and you have a
whopping $104,000 of additional net worth! Even if the appreciation level were
at 3.5% or half the historical norm, the result would be $77,000 of additional
net worth.
But if laying out the initial increase in monthly payment and having to wait
for your tax benefit to show up next April is a tough nut to crack, the IRS
wants to help. Instead of waiting to file for the tax benefits derived from your
new home purchase, you can simply adjust the amount of your withholding. This
allows you to have less tax withheld from each paycheck so you can handle the
new mortgage payment more comfortably throughout the year. In essence, you are
taking your tax refund as you go instead of letting Uncle Sam hold it all year,
interest free.
Visit www.irs.gov and use the IRS
withholding calculator. This very handy tool can quickly show you the effect a
change in withholding will do to your net paycheck. Remember to balance this
with the expected refund and it is always a good idea to check with your tax
advisor.
Don’t be victimized by the bubble hype. Buying a home is a big step, but it
is almost always one in the right direction. |